House Oversight — Estate records
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025247
CIO Monthly extended en 1091263
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CIO WM Global Investment Office CIO monthly video www.ubs.com/cio-video For smartphone users: scan the code with an app like "scan" UBS CIO Monthly Extended November 2012 Published 25 October 2012 This report has been prepared by UBS AG. Please see important disclaimers and disclosures at the end of the document. Past performance is no indication of future performance. The market prices provided are closing prices on the respective principal stock exchange. This applies to all performance charts and tables in this publication. Table of Contents C:\Program Files\UBS\Pres\Templates\PresPrintOnScreen.pot Section 1 Base slides 2 Section 2 Asset class views 11 2.A Equities 12 2.B Fixed income 22 2.C Foreign exchange 29 2.D NTAC: Commodities, Listed real estate, Hedge funds and Private equity 33 1 Section 1 Base slides Summary C:\Program Files\UBS\Pres\Templates\PresPrintOnScreen.pot "Global growth is showing broad-based signs of improvement." � � � � � Economy Global growth is showing broad-based signs of improvement, supported by decisive monetary policy from the world's major central banks. In the US, the housing market recovery continues and the labor market remains on a modest uptrend. This has helped improve the sentiment of US consumers, and consumption remains the most important contributor to US GDP growth. Growth has also begun to pick up in key areas of the emerging markets, including China and Brazil. While the Eurozone economy remains weak, we expect Q3 2012 to mark the bottom, and that growth will begin to get "less bad" from Q4 2012. Equities Equity markets have been supported by central bank action and the recent improvements in economic data. Our preferred markets remain the US and Emerging Markets (EM). Investor funds have started to flow back into EM, as economic data is improving and inflation remains under control. Canada and Australia remain our least favored regions due to falling earnings. Fixed Income US high yield bonds remain supported by stron […]