House Oversight — Estate records
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From: Sent: To: Subject: Attachments: Paul Morris [1111111111111111110111114111111111114] 3/14/2014 10:27:39 PM Jeffrey Epstein [jeeyacation@gmail.com] Re: Oil options [C] graycol.gif Importance: High Classification: Confidential I do want to talk to u about this, they spent too much thinking about options here, let me know when u have couple minutes. Vinit Sahni -----Original Message----- From: Vinit Sahni Sent: 03/13/2014 09:47 PM EDT To: jeevacation@gmail.com Cc: Paul Morris Subject: Fw: Oil options Classification: External Communication Jeffrey - apologise if this long to execute next time well be much quicker. Nay Gupta Original Message----- From: Nay Gupta Sent: 03/12/2014 09:35 PM GDT To: njeevacation@gmail.com" <jeevacation@gmail.com> Cc: Tazia Smith; Paul Morris/db/ Subject: Oil options Jeffrey Vinit Sahni/db/IIIIIIIIIIII Just got off the phone with Vinit. DB stopped marketmaking OTC oil options - for short dated Pd go for exch traded - better liquidity and lower transaction costs in and out. My central scenario - Kerry Lavrov meeting Friday will be a bust and the Crimea referendum this weekend will result in "yes" given the 59pct ethic Russian makeup. Sunday/ Monday sanction rhetoric from ranging from g8 expulsion to Iran-style bank embargo is raised a notch. Russia follows with more threats of counter-sanctions. My sense is the Obama 5m of 696m SPR release is to show Merkel and co he will step in. He needs to because there are 8 small European and Baltic countries that rec 70%+ of their gas from Russia. Germany gets 30%. Cross asset correlations outside of the US are increasing past few days - eg copper and the Turkish lira hourly charts are on top of each other past 4 days. I'm worried there is a 30-40pct(?) chance of a hard risk off move in markets in first half of next week - more focused on European equities, copper, EM FX (Turkey, ZAR, Ruble etc) than SPX. In that scenario oil is way up. Exchange WTI calls - […]