House Oversight — Estate records
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014315
2016 Future of Financials Conference
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2016 Future of Financials Conference Management and client bullishness implies further upside Price Objective Change Equity | 17 November 2016 Corrected Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for amanda.ens@baml.com Conference tone bullish into 2017 We recently hosted over 90 public and private companies and 700 attendees at our Future of Financials conference, where investor attendance was up an impressive 66% YoY. The tone from management and investors was uniformly bullish, with more generalists attending than we have seen in previous years. Revenue & regulatory upside + positioning = raising POs We are raising our price objectives across most of our names. Three primary reasons why we think there is upside remaining after the recent rally: 1) an improved outlook on both activity levels and interest rates, driving revenue upside; 2) potentially lower regulatory burden, particularly as new supervisory leadership can come with the new administration; and 3) relatively lighter positioning in US financials vs. other sectors. Full house at innovation-focused panels New this year, we hosted expert panels on the evolution of clearing, fixed income market structure, equity market structure, and payments, and how innovation in blockchain, big data, and robo advisory can change the game. Strong panel attendance suggested high interest in these themes, and polling feedback suggests shareholders want banks to make investment spend in innovation a priority -- so long as it is self funded with savings found elsewhere. Banks: Most constructive we've heard in years We are raising our POs for our banks by c11% (see Table 1 page 63). When asked if the election results changed 2017 outlooks, all banks were more enthusiastic about growth. Echoing sentiment from our panel on regulation and M&A, banks were upbeat on the CCAR process potentially evolving post-election. Our top picks out of the conference: WFC (sentiment over retail sales prac […]